Sherwood, S.C, C. L. Meyer and R. J. Allen, Robust
tropospheric warming revealed by iteratively homogenized radiosonde
data. Submitted to J. Climate, 11/07.
Results are presented from a new homogenization of data since 1959
from 527 radiosonde stations. This effort differs from previous ones
by employing an approach specifically designed to minimize systematic
errors in adjustment, by including wind shear as well as temperature,
by seasonally resolving adjustments, and by using neither satellite
information nor station metadata. Relatively few artifacts were
detected in wind shear and associated adjustments were
indistinguishable from random. Temperature artifacts were detected
most often in the late 1980's-early 1990's.
The meridional variations of zonally aggregated temperature trend
since 1979 moved significantly closer to those of the MSU (Microwave
Sounding Unit) after data adjustment. From 5S-20N however the
adjusted data continue to show evidence of inhomogenieities in the
troposphere. Stratospheric cooling also remains stronger than
indicated by MSU and likely excessive. Elsewhere, the adjusted trends
are close to those of MSU for the lower troposphere (TLT), and for
Channel 2 are closest to those analyses (Remote Sensing Systems and
the University of Maryland) showing the strongest warming. The
troposphere warms at least as strongly as the surface, with local
warming maxima at 300 hPa in the Tropics and in the boundary layer of
the extratropical northern hemisphere (ENH). Tropospheric warming
since 1959 is almost hemispherically symmetric, but since 1979 is
significantly stronger in ENH and weaker in ESH (extratropical
southern hemisphere). ESH trends are relatively uncertain due to poor
sampling.
While this effort appears not to have detected all artifacts, trends
appear to be systematically improved, and change more than in previous
efforts. Several suggestions are made for future attempts. These
results support the hypothesis that trends in wind data are relatively
uncorrupted by artifacts compared to temperature, and should be
exploited in future homogenization efforts.